This is true no matter how far back in your family's history you may wish to go. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. A lovely day to you. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. dr ali binazir odds of being born - simssuccessgroup.com So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their grandparents, and so on till the beginning of time. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. But, doesnt that seem a bit low? You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. Step 3. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? But lets make it longer. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. The answer, if my math is right, (assuming a mass of the moon of 7.34 x 10^22 kg), is about 7.34 x 10^34 years. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. The odds against 26 blacks in a row are about 66 million to one against; however, previous results have absolutely no effect on subsequent ones. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Based on the data from the CDC . Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. dr ali binazir odds of being born - c-vineretirement.com I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. So far, so good. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. dr ali binazir odds of being born - mashroubs.com Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. Probability is a pure odd. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Click the image to enlarge it and check their numbers: Of course, there are poets who argue exactly the opposite: that each of us is fated to exist, that there is a plan, and that all of us are expected. June 24, 2022 . 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Or stalk me (with love.). dr ali binazir odds of being born Those who are brave (foolish?) The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. Suitcases checked and standing side by side. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. Onward to freedom! Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their parents, and so on back to the beginning of human time. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Now things start getting interesting. Thats just the observable Universe; we havent the faintest idea what is beyond what we can detect with our instruments. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. Think of yourself as dead. First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). Part of HuffPost Wellness. Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Thats going to take a LONG time. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Maybe that one would have been better. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: 1 in 1045,000. Thats a pretty good trip. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. Step 4. No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. Scripture says. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? And worry and fear? That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. saving. He assumes each person is alert and awake for eight hours a day (this allows for downtime watching reality TV shows when the human brain is entirely inactive). Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. Dr. msk zilina slovan bratislava; battle of the brothers winner Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Were all winners in life without doing anything! To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. This includes personalizing content and advertising. Are You a Miracle? You may think You say that to everyone!. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism.
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